{"id":27361,"date":"2023-01-23T21:35:44","date_gmt":"2023-01-24T02:35:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/colombiainteligente.org\/?p=27361"},"modified":"2023-01-23T21:37:07","modified_gmt":"2023-01-24T02:37:07","slug":"public-debt-sustainability-and-fiscal-reaction-functions-in-latin-america-and-the-caribbean","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/colombiainteligente.org\/es_co\/tendencias\/public-debt-sustainability-and-fiscal-reaction-functions-in-latin-america-and-the-caribbean\/","title":{"rendered":"Public Debt Sustainability and Fiscal Reaction Functions in Latin America and the Caribbean"},"content":{"rendered":"<div data-elementor-type=\"wp-post\" data-elementor-id=\"27361\" class=\"elementor elementor-27361\" data-elementor-post-type=\"post\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-87c6aa2 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"87c6aa2\" data-element_type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-558bb819\" data-id=\"558bb819\" data-element_type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-3067325c elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"3067325c\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t<style>\/*! elementor - v3.14.0 - 26-06-2023 *\/\n.elementor-widget-text-editor.elementor-drop-cap-view-stacked .elementor-drop-cap{background-color:#69727d;color:#fff}.elementor-widget-text-editor.elementor-drop-cap-view-framed .elementor-drop-cap{color:#69727d;border:3px solid;background-color:transparent}.elementor-widget-text-editor:not(.elementor-drop-cap-view-default) .elementor-drop-cap{margin-top:8px}.elementor-widget-text-editor:not(.elementor-drop-cap-view-default) .elementor-drop-cap-letter{width:1em;height:1em}.elementor-widget-text-editor .elementor-drop-cap{float:left;text-align:center;line-height:1;font-size:50px}.elementor-widget-text-editor .elementor-drop-cap-letter{display:inline-block}<\/style>\t\t\t\t<p><span class=\"TextRun SCXO131454640 BCX9\" lang=\"ES-ES\" xml:lang=\"ES-ES\" data-contrast=\"auto\"><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXO131454640 BCX9\">COVID-19 dej\u00f3 a las econom\u00edas de Am\u00e9rica Latina y el Caribe con mayores niveles de deuda soberana como porcentaje de la producci\u00f3n, planteando la cuesti\u00f3n de la sostenibilidad de la deuda en la regi\u00f3n. La literatura ha identificado dos condiciones comprobables sobre la funci\u00f3n de reacci\u00f3n fiscal para la sostenibilidad de la deuda: i) una respuesta positiva de los saldos primarios a la deuda (<\/span><span class=\"SpellingError SCXO131454640 BCX9\">Bohn<\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXO131454640 BCX9\">, 1995) e\u00a0<\/span><span class=\"SpellingError SCXO131454640 BCX9\">ii<\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXO131454640 BCX9\">) la respuesta de los saldos primarios a la deuda deber\u00eda ser mayor que la tasa de inter\u00e9s ajustada al crecimiento (Ghosh et al., 2013). Este art\u00edculo revisa estas condiciones, tanto desde la perspectiva te\u00f3rica como emp\u00edrica. Introduce una nueva medida de \u00abcrecimiento impl\u00edcito\u00bb que es la relevante para la din\u00e1mica de la relaci\u00f3n deuda\/PIB.<\/span><\/span><span class=\"EOP SCXO131454640 BCX9\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">La sostenibilidad de la deuda es uno de los pilares fundamentales de las finanzas p\u00fablicas. Una gesti\u00f3n adecuada y responsable de la deuda p\u00fablica es necesaria para la provisi\u00f3n eficiente y fluida de bienes p\u00fablicos. El manejo\u00a0contrac\u00edclico\u00a0de la pol\u00edtica fiscal requiere que los pa\u00edses puedan financiarse en momentos de estr\u00e9s fiscal y al mismo tiempo generar confianza en su capacidad de repago en el futuro. En Am\u00e9rica Latina y el Caribe (ALC), la deuda soberana ha sido un amortiguador esencial durante las crisis econ\u00f3micas, particularmente durante la pandemia del COVID-19. Sin embargo, siguen existiendo desaf\u00edos para lograr la\u00a0antic\u00edclicidad, ya que los esfuerzos fiscales en \u00e9pocas de bonanza no siempre han sido suficientes para devolver la deuda a sus niveles previos a la crisis. En el contexto actual, la deuda ha mostrado aumentos sinuosos en relaci\u00f3n con los niveles observados en la \u00faltima d\u00e9cada. Ello sit\u00faa la sostenibilidad de la deuda en el primer plano de la agenda de los responsables pol\u00edticos de la regi\u00f3n.\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">En las \u00faltimas d\u00e9cadas, el debate sobre la sostenibilidad de la deuda p\u00fablica ha aumentado sustancialmente, involucrando a acad\u00e9micos, responsables pol\u00edticos y participantes en los mercados financieros.\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Recientemente, ha habido varios intentos de definir y explicar te\u00f3ricamente el concepto y desarrollar m\u00e9todos para evaluar cuantitativamente la sostenibilidad de la deuda.\u00a0<\/span>\u00a0<\/p><p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Este trabajo define la sostenibilidad de la deuda y la identifica con una secuencia de condiciones necesarias, comenzando con los requisitos universalmente aceptados y refin\u00e1ndolos debido a las particularidades de las econom\u00edas emergentes, luego presenta una evaluaci\u00f3n emp\u00edrica de las deudas p\u00fablicas de la regi\u00f3n siguiendo la exposici\u00f3n te\u00f3rica basada en la estimaci\u00f3n de funciones de reacci\u00f3n fiscal, tanto lineales como no lineales, para identificar episodios de fatiga fiscal y las implicaciones para la sostenibilidad de la deuda\u00a0<\/span>\u00a0<\/p><p>Para leer m\u00e1s ingrese a:<\/p><p><a href=\"https:\/\/publications.iadb.org\/en\/public-debt-sustainability-and-fiscal-reaction-functions-latin-america-and-caribbean\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">https:\/\/publications.iadb.org\/en\/public-debt-sustainability-and-fiscal-reaction-functions-latin-america-and-caribbean<\/span><\/a><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0<\/span>\u00a0<\/p><p><a href=\"https:\/\/publications.iadb.org\/publications\/english\/document\/public-debt-sustainability-and-fiscal-reaction-functions-in-latin-america-and-the-caribbean.pdf\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">https:\/\/publications.iadb.org\/publications\/english\/document\/public-debt-sustainability-and-fiscal-reaction-functions-in-latin-america-and-the-caribbean.pdf<\/span><\/a><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0<\/span>\u00a0<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div style=\"text-align:center\" class=\"yasr-auto-insert-visitor\"><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>COVID-19 dej\u00f3 a las econom\u00edas de Am\u00e9rica Latina y el Caribe con mayores niveles de deuda soberana como porcentaje de la producci\u00f3n, planteando la cuesti\u00f3n de la sostenibilidad de la deuda en la regi\u00f3n. La literatura ha identificado dos condiciones comprobables sobre la funci\u00f3n de reacci\u00f3n fiscal para la sostenibilidad de la deuda: i) una respuesta positiva de los saldos primarios a la deuda (Bohn, 1995) e ii) la respuesta de los saldos primarios a la deuda deber\u00eda ser mayor que la tasa de inter\u00e9s ajustada al crecimiento (Ghosh et al., 2013). Este art\u00edculo revisa estas condiciones, tanto desde la perspectiva te\u00f3rica como emp\u00edrica. Introduce una nueva medida de \u00abcrecimiento impl\u00edcito\u00bb que es la relevante para la din\u00e1mica de la relaci\u00f3n deuda\/PIB. <\/p>","protected":false},"author":23,"featured_media":27362,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"yasr_overall_rating":0,"yasr_post_is_review":"","yasr_auto_insert_disabled":"","yasr_review_type":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[56,53],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-27361","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-convergencia-y-sostenibilidad","category-tendencias"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Public Debt Sustainability and Fiscal Reaction Functions in Latin America and the Caribbean - Colombia Inteligente<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/colombiainteligente.org\/es_co\/tendencias\/public-debt-sustainability-and-fiscal-reaction-functions-in-latin-america-and-the-caribbean\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Public Debt Sustainability and Fiscal Reaction Functions in Latin America and the Caribbean - Colombia Inteligente\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"COVID-19 dej\u00f3 a las econom\u00edas de Am\u00e9rica Latina y el Caribe con mayores niveles de deuda soberana como porcentaje de la producci\u00f3n, planteando la cuesti\u00f3n de la sostenibilidad de la deuda en la regi\u00f3n. La literatura ha identificado dos condiciones comprobables sobre la funci\u00f3n de reacci\u00f3n fiscal para la sostenibilidad de la deuda: i) una respuesta positiva de los saldos primarios a la deuda (Bohn, 1995) e ii) la respuesta de los saldos primarios a la deuda deber\u00eda ser mayor que la tasa de inter\u00e9s ajustada al crecimiento (Ghosh et al., 2013). Este art\u00edculo revisa estas condiciones, tanto desde la perspectiva te\u00f3rica como emp\u00edrica. 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