{"id":6554,"date":"2022-04-19T22:34:09","date_gmt":"2022-04-20T03:34:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/colombiainteligente.org\/?p=6554"},"modified":"2022-12-28T22:35:14","modified_gmt":"2022-12-29T03:35:14","slug":"reality-check-forecasting-growth-in-the-middle-east-and-north-africa-in-times-of-uncertainty","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/colombiainteligente.org\/es_co\/tendencias\/reality-check-forecasting-growth-in-the-middle-east-and-north-africa-in-times-of-uncertainty\/","title":{"rendered":"Reality Check : Forecasting Growth in the Middle East and North Africa in Times of Uncertainty"},"content":{"rendered":"<div data-elementor-type=\"wp-post\" data-elementor-id=\"6554\" class=\"elementor elementor-6554\" data-elementor-post-type=\"post\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-79148795 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"79148795\" data-element_type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-1ece4ebf\" data-id=\"1ece4ebf\" data-element_type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-7a61c7e5 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"7a61c7e5\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t<style>\/*! elementor - v3.14.0 - 26-06-2023 *\/\n.elementor-widget-text-editor.elementor-drop-cap-view-stacked .elementor-drop-cap{background-color:#69727d;color:#fff}.elementor-widget-text-editor.elementor-drop-cap-view-framed .elementor-drop-cap{color:#69727d;border:3px solid;background-color:transparent}.elementor-widget-text-editor:not(.elementor-drop-cap-view-default) .elementor-drop-cap{margin-top:8px}.elementor-widget-text-editor:not(.elementor-drop-cap-view-default) .elementor-drop-cap-letter{width:1em;height:1em}.elementor-widget-text-editor .elementor-drop-cap{float:left;text-align:center;line-height:1;font-size:50px}.elementor-widget-text-editor .elementor-drop-cap-letter{display:inline-block}<\/style>\t\t\t\t<p>Las econom\u00edas de Oriente Medio y \u00c1frica del Norte se enfrentan a una recuperaci\u00f3n incierta. La guerra en Ucrania presenta desaf\u00edos significativos para la econom\u00eda global y la regi\u00f3n MENA. Es probable que las presiones inflacionarias provocadas por la pandemia se vean a\u00fan m\u00e1s exacerbadas por el conflicto. El potencial de aumento de los precios de los alimentos es a\u00fan mayor, lo que probablemente perjudique los bolsillos de los pobres y vulnerables de la regi\u00f3n. La pandemia de COVID-19 contin\u00faa proyectando una sombra. El informe se centra en un instrumento habitual utilizado para preparar el futuro pr\u00f3ximo: las previsiones econ\u00f3micas.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p><p>The region, like the rest of the world, is not out of the woods yet. Vaccinations remain the effective path out of the pandemic, leading to lower hospitalizations and death rates. Testing helps curb the spread. During times of uncertainty, it is important to not be overconfident about the region\u2019s growth prospects. Growth forecasts serve as a significant signpost for policymakers to chart a path forward. Over the last decade, growth forecasts in the MENA region have often been inaccurate and overly optimistic, which can lead to economic contractions down the road due to ebullient borrowing.\u00a0<\/p><p>\u00a0<\/p><p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Para mayor\u00a0informaci\u00f3n\u00a0visitar\u00a0los\u00a0siguientes\u00a0enlaces:\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>\u00a0<\/p><p><a href=\"https:\/\/openknowledge.worldbank.org\/handle\/10986\/37246\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">https:\/\/openknowledge.worldbank.org\/handle\/10986\/37246<\/span><\/a><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0<\/span>\u00a0<\/p><p><a href=\"https:\/\/openknowledge.worldbank.org\/bitstream\/handle\/10986\/37246\/9781464818653.pdf?sequence=3&amp;isAllowed=y\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">https:\/\/openknowledge.worldbank.org\/bitstream\/handle\/10986\/37246\/9781464818653.pdf?sequence=3&amp;isAllowed=y<\/span><\/a><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0<\/span>\u00a0<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div style=\"text-align:center\" class=\"yasr-auto-insert-visitor\"><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Las econom\u00edas de Oriente Medio y \u00c1frica del Norte se enfrentan a una recuperaci\u00f3n incierta. La guerra en Ucrania presenta desaf\u00edos significativos para la econom\u00eda global y la regi\u00f3n MENA. Es probable que las presiones inflacionarias provocadas por la pandemia se vean a\u00fan m\u00e1s exacerbadas por el conflicto. El potencial de aumento de los precios de los alimentos es a\u00fan mayor, lo que probablemente perjudique los bolsillos de los pobres y vulnerables de la regi\u00f3n. La pandemia de COVID-19 contin\u00faa proyectando una sombra. El informe se centra en un instrumento habitual utilizado para preparar el futuro pr\u00f3ximo: las previsiones econ\u00f3micas.  <\/p>","protected":false},"author":23,"featured_media":6556,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"yasr_overall_rating":0,"yasr_post_is_review":"","yasr_auto_insert_disabled":"","yasr_review_type":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[56,53],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-6554","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-convergencia-y-sostenibilidad","category-tendencias"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Reality Check : Forecasting Growth in the Middle East and North Africa in Times of Uncertainty - Colombia Inteligente<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/colombiainteligente.org\/es_co\/tendencias\/reality-check-forecasting-growth-in-the-middle-east-and-north-africa-in-times-of-uncertainty\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Reality Check : Forecasting Growth in the Middle East and North Africa in Times of Uncertainty - Colombia Inteligente\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Las econom\u00edas de Oriente Medio y \u00c1frica del Norte se enfrentan a una recuperaci\u00f3n incierta. 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